Stock Region Market Briefing: The Roar of The Bull

Disclaimer: The information provided in this newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be construed as, financial, investment, or legal advice. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Stock Region. Investing in the stock market involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Table of Contents

1. Market Overview: A Cautious Bull in a China Shop of Volatility

2. Key News Highlights: The Movers and Shakers

3. Growth Stocks on Our Radar: Riding the AI Wave

4. Deep Dive: Unpacking the Stories That Matter

5. Stock Region Trading Room Alert: Navigating the Tech Tsunami with QQQ

6. The Innovation Engine: Breakthroughs Shaping Tomorrow

7. Global Chessboard: Geopolitical Shifts and Your Portfolio

8. Closing Thoughts: Finding Opportunity in the Noise

A Cautious Bull in a China Shop of Volatility

Welcome back to the Stock Region Market Briefing. If the last few weeks in the market felt like a rollercoaster designed by a madman, you’re not alone. We’re witnessing a fascinating, and frankly, nerve-wracking tug-of-war. On one side, you have the unmistakable, ground-shaking roar of a bull, fueled by a technological revolution in Artificial Intelligence that is unlike anything we’ve seen since the dawn of the internet. On the other, you have the skittish, unpredictable tremors of geopolitical tensions, inflationary ghosts, and the ever-present threat of a policy misstep from the Fed. The result? A market that feels cautiously, almost defiantly, bullish, yet prone to moments of extreme, heart-stopping volatility.

Let’s call it what it is: this isn’t your grandfather’s bull market. This is a bull navigating a china shop. Every step forward feels powerful, but the risk of shattering something delicate is palpable. The sheer scale of capital being deployed into AI infrastructure is staggering, creating a gravitational pull that lifts the entire tech sector. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell himself seems to have given the green light, dismissing bubble concerns by pointing to something we can all see: these tech titans are generating real, astronomical profits. This isn’t the dot-com era of “eyeballs” and dreams; this is an era of tangible earnings, cash flow, and world-changing products.

So, what’s our near-term forecast? Expect more of the same. We predict a continued upward grind, led by the generals of the tech world, but punctuated by sharp, violent pullbacks. These dips won’t be signs of a collapsing market; they’ll be reactions to headlines—a new tariff threat, a surprising inflation print, a political skirmish overseas. The savvy investor, the one who keeps their emotions in check, will see these moments not as a reason to panic, but as a potential opportunity to buy into the long-term trend at a discount. The bull is roaring, but it’s paying close attention to its surroundings. The key for us is to do the same: stay bullish on the long-term technological narrative but remain nimble and prepared for the volatility that comes with walking this tightrope. The market is rewarding conviction, but it is punishing complacency.

Key News Highlights: The Movers and Shakers

The news cycle has been relentless, with major developments across tech, politics, and global relations. Here’s a breakdown of what’s moving the needle.

Apple’s AI Offensive Intensifies

Apple (AAPL) is leaving no doubt that it intends to be a dominant force in the AI arena. CEO Tim Cook’s recent announcement that more features are coming to “Apple Intelligence” wasn’t only corporate fluff; it was a declaration of intent. The company is embedding AI deeper into its ecosystem, aiming to make it an indispensable part of the user experience across its billions of devices.

This commitment is already bearing fruit.

• Q4 2025 Earnings:

• Revenue: $102.47 billion (up 8% YoY), narrowly beating the $102.24 billion estimate.

  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.85, comfortably ahead of the $1.77 consensus.

These numbers, while seemingly modest in their beat, are significant. In a world worried about consumer spending, Apple is still growing its top and bottom lines. The 8% year-over-year revenue growth is a testament to the stickiness of its ecosystem and the pricing power it commands. The real story, however, will unfold as these new AI features roll out. If Apple can seamlessly integrate powerful AI that “just works”—its long-standing mantra—it could trigger another massive upgrade cycle and further cement its moat.

Nvidia: The Kingmaker Doubles Down

When Nvidia (NVDA) makes a move, the entire tech world stops to listen. The report of a potential $1 billion investment in AI startup Poolside is another masterstroke from CEO Jensen Huang. This strategy is brilliant for various reasons. First, it ensures that cutting-edge AI models are developed and optimized on Nvidia’s hardware, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of demand. Second, it gives Nvidia an early-stage stake in what could become the next generation of AI giants.

This move comes as Nvidia continues to forge critical alliances. The company is deepening its AI partnerships with South Korea’s industrial titans, including Hyundai, Samsung, SK Group, and Naver. This is about embedding Nvidia’s CUDA platform into the core of global industry, from manufacturing and automotive to consumer electronics and cloud services. Nvidia is building a kingdom, and everyone from startups to conglomerates is paying tribute.

Geopolitical Tremors

While tech charges ahead, the political landscape remains a source of uncertainty.

• U.S. Politics: Former President Trump has called on the Senate to use the “nuclear option” to eliminate the filibuster, a move that would dramatically alter the legislative process and could lead to swift, sweeping policy changes depending on who holds power. For the market, this signals a future of potentially lower legislative gridlock but higher policy volatility.

• China-U.S. Relations: We’re seeing a classic “good cop, bad cop” routine on the world stage. On one hand, China’s Defense Minister is talking about building trust. On the other, the Pentagon is defending the resumption of nuclear weapons testing. These mixed signals create a tense backdrop for global trade and investment. Any escalation could have immediate and severe repercussions for supply chains, particularly in the tech sector.

• China-Canada Relations: A potential thaw between Beijing and Ottawa, as noted by President Xi Jinping, could be a small but positive sign. Easing tensions between key U.S. allies and China can help stabilize the broader geopolitical environment.

These developments remind us that the market does not exist in a vacuum. A single headline from Washington or Beijing can overshadow even the most impressive earnings report.

Stocks on Our Radar: Riding the AI Wave

The AI boom is not a fleeting trend; it’s a fundamental reshaping of the global economy. Here are the stocks we believe are positioned to capitalize on this seismic shift.

Nvidia (NVDA): The Undisputed Monarch

• Why We’re Watching: To call Nvidia a “growth stock” almost feels like an understatement. It’s a “kingdom-building” stock. Every single major development in AI, from large language models to scientific discovery and autonomous driving, is powered by Nvidia’s GPUs. The company has a near-monopolistic grip on the AI training market, and its CUDA software ecosystem creates an incredibly deep and sticky moat that competitors are struggling to cross.

• The Data: The demand is insatiable. Lead times for its top-tier H100 and Blackwell chips remain long, giving Nvidia immense pricing power. The company’s financials are breathtaking, with revenue growth consistently in the triple digits. Its recent moves—investing in startups like Poolside and forging deep partnerships in South Korea—show a company that is not just content with its current dominance but is actively securing its reign for the next decade.

• The Thesis: As long as the AI arms race continues—and Big Tech’s spending habits suggest it’s only accelerating—Nvidia is the primary beneficiary. The stock is volatile and carries a high valuation, but this is a direct reflection of its unprecedented growth and strategic position. We view any significant pullback in NVDA as a potential opportunity to gain exposure to the single most important company in the world’s most important technological trend.

Apple (AAPL): The Sleeping AI Giant Awakens

• Why We’re Watching: For a while, the narrative was that Apple was “late” to the AI party. We believe this is a fundamental misreading of the situation. Apple was never going to be the first to release a flashy, error-prone chatbot. Its strategy is to integrate AI so seamlessly into its ecosystem that users can’t imagine living without it. With “Apple Intelligence,” this strategy is now coming into focus.

• The Data: Apple has an unmatched distribution channel: over two billion active devices. When it rolls out a new AI-powered feature, it instantly reaches a global user base that is deeply embedded and invested in its ecosystem. The recent earnings report (8% YoY revenue growth, EPS beat) proves the resilience of its business model even before the full impact of its AI push is felt.

• The Thesis: The real growth catalyst for Apple is the coming upgrade cycle. As AI features become more sophisticated and require more processing power, millions of users will be compelled to upgrade their iPhones, iPads, and Macs. This, combined with a potential increase in high-margin services revenue driven by AI-powered applications, gives Apple a clear path to renewed growth. It’s a less explosive but potentially more durable AI play compared to the pure-play chipmakers.

Other Names to Keep on Your Watchlist:

• Microsoft (MSFT): Through its massive investment in OpenAI and the integration of Copilot across its entire software suite (Windows, Office 365, Azure), Microsoft is monetizing AI at an enterprise scale faster than anyone. Its position in cloud computing with Azure gives it a direct pipeline to sell AI services to businesses worldwide.

• Alphabet (GOOGL): Don’t count out the original AI pioneer. Google has been investing in AI for over a decade. While its product rollout has been less slick than some competitors, its foundational research is second to none. Its Gemini models are incredibly powerful, and as it integrates this technology more effectively into its core Search, Cloud, and Android businesses, it has enormous potential for growth.

• Amazon (AMZN): AWS remains the king of cloud infrastructure, and it’s a critical platform for companies building and deploying AI models. Amazon is also investing heavily in its own custom chips (Trainium and Inferentia) to reduce its reliance on Nvidia and offer lower-cost AI services to its customers. The combination of its e-commerce, advertising, and cloud businesses makes it a diversified behemoth with multiple levers for AI-driven growth.

Deep Dive: Unpacking the Stories That Matter

Beyond the headline numbers, developing stories have the potential to create significant ripples across the market. Let’s dig deeper.

Disney vs. YouTube TV: The Battle for the Bundle

The standoff between Disney (DIS) and Google’s YouTube TV (GOOGL) is more than just a contract dispute; it’s a microcosm of the entire media landscape in turmoil. When Disney pulled its entire suite of channels—including the crown jewels ESPN and ABC—from one of the fastest-growing live TV streaming services, it drew a line in the sand.

• Disney’s Position: Disney, under pressure to make its streaming business profitable, is fighting to protect the value of its content. It’s demanding what it calls “industry-standard” terms, which likely translates to higher fees per subscriber. For Disney, this is existential. The decline of traditional cable has been brutal, and it needs to extract maximum value from every distribution partner to fund its massive content spending and transition to a streaming-first future. Losing the YouTube TV audience hurts, but caving on price would set a dangerous precedent for all its other negotiations.

• Google’s Position: YouTube TV’s value proposition is being a cheaper, more flexible alternative to cable. Google claims Disney’s demands would force a significant price hike on all subscribers, undermining that core appeal. By offering a $20 credit, YouTube is betting that many of its customers will be content to live without Disney’s channels, especially if it keeps their monthly bill down. It’s a calculated gamble on consumer price sensitivity versus loyalty to specific content.

Market Impact & Stock Insights:
For DIS, this is a high-stakes poker game. A prolonged blackout could lead to a noticeable drop in advertising revenue and affiliate fees, putting more pressure on its already scrutinized financials. However, if Google blinks first, it strengthens Disney’s hand in all future negotiations. The stock will likely remain volatile until there’s a resolution. We’re watching to see if this forces Disney to accelerate plans for a direct-to-consumer ESPN streaming service.

For GOOGL, the impact is less direct. YouTube TV is a small, albeit growing, part of its colossal business. The real risk is subscriber churn. If a significant number of users leave for competitors like Hulu + Live TV (which, ironically, Disney controls) or FuboTV, it could slow the growth narrative for the service. This is a battle over the future of the media bundle, and the outcome will have implications for every company in the sector, from content creators to distributors.

Neuralink’s Milestone: Science Fiction Becomes Reality

The update on Noland Arbo, Neuralink’s first human patient, is one of the most profound technological stories of the year. Twenty-one months after receiving his brain-computer interface (BCI), Arbo, who is paralyzed, is not only operating a computer with his thoughts—he has become a motivational speaker and is studying neuroscience.

This is a monumental achievement. It moves the concept of BCIs from the realm of theoretical science fiction into tangible, life-altering reality. While the immediate application is to restore function for people with paralysis, Elon Musk’s long-term vision is far more ambitious: a symbiotic merger of human and artificial intelligence.

Market Impact & Stock Insights:
Neuralink is still a private company, so there’s no direct way to invest. However, its success has massive implications for these sectors:

• Biotechnology and Medical Devices: The entire field of neurotechnology will receive a surge of investment and interest. Companies working on less-invasive brain-sensing technologies, neural modulation for treating conditions like epilepsy and Parkinson’s, and related diagnostic tools could see their valuations rise. Look for established players like Medtronic (MDT) or smaller, more speculative biotech firms in the neurology space.

• The “Musk Ecosystem”: While not directly linked, success at Neuralink adds to the “Elon Musk premium.” It reinforces the narrative that he is a visionary capable of executing on seemingly impossible goals. This can have a halo effect on his public companies, particularly Tesla (TSLA), by bolstering investor confidence in its long-term, ambitious projects like humanoid robots and self-driving technology.

• The Future of Human-Computer Interaction: Musk’s prediction that smartphones will be replaced by simpler interfaces powered by AI and BCIs is no longer just a wild fantasy. While it may be decades away, this update is the first concrete step in that direction. Companies that are foundational to this future—AI chipmakers (NVDA, AMD), cloud providers (AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL), and data infrastructure companies—are the long-term beneficiaries.

Big Tech’s Staggering AI Spending Spree

The numbers are almost too large to comprehend. In Q3 2025 alone, the four largest cloud and data players—Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon—ramped up their capital expenditures to astronomical levels in a frantic race to build out their AI infrastructure.

• Google (GOOGL): $24 billion in Q3, up 83% year-over-year.

• Microsoft (MSFT): $35 billion in Q3, up 74%.

• Meta (META): $19.4 billion in Q3, more than double the previous year.

• Amazon (AMZN): $34.2 billion in Q3, pushing its year-to-date total to nearly $90 billion.

By the end of 2025, these four companies are on track to have spent over $776 billion on AI-related infrastructure over a three-year period.

What This Means for the Market:
This is the single most powerful tailwind for the technology sector. This is not speculative spending; it is an arms race where the cost of falling behind is obsolescence.

1. The Clear Winner is Nvidia (NVDA): A massive portion of this capital expenditure flows directly to Nvidia for its GPUs. This spending validates Nvidia’s sky-high valuation and suggests its incredible growth trajectory can continue.

2. It Validates the AI Thesis: The smartest companies in the world are betting their futures on AI. This should give every investor confidence that the AI revolution is real and has legs. This isn’t a bubble; it’s a build-out. As Fed Chair Powell noted, these companies are highly profitable, and this investment is aimed at driving future productivity and earnings.

3. Ancillary Beneficiaries: This spending boom lifts many other boats. It creates demand for networking equipment from companies like Arista Networks (ANET), electricity and power management from companies like Eaton (ETN) and Vertiv (VRT), and even real estate for data centers from REITs like Equinix (EQIX) and Digital Realty Trust (DLR). It is a tidal wave of capital that flows through the entire tech supply chain.

4. A Long-Term Productivity Boom: The ultimate goal of this spending is to create efficiencies and new products that will drive economic growth for years to come. Economists are already projecting that AI could add trillions to global GDP. This infrastructure build-out is the foundation for that future growth.

Stock Region Trading Room Alert: Navigating the Tech Tsunami with QQQ

In a market dominated by a handful of tech behemoths, traders are constantly searching for the right vehicle to capture the upside while managing risk. In the Stock Region Trading Room, one of our preferred instruments for expressing a view on the broader tech sector has been the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ).

The QQQ is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 index, which comprises the 100 largest and most innovative non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

Why is QQQ the Vehicle of Choice?

1. Concentrated Exposure to Megacap Tech: The QQQ is, by its very nature, heavily weighted towards the very companies driving the AI revolution. Names like Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, and Meta make up a substantial portion of the fund. This means that when Big Tech is winning, QQQ is winning. It provides a simple, one-stop-shop way to bet on the continued dominance of these market leaders without having to pick individual winners and losers.

2. Extreme Liquidity: The QQQ is one of the most heavily traded ETFs in the world. This is critically important for options traders. High liquidity means tight bid-ask spreads, which reduces the cost of entering and exiting trades. It also means you can trade in significant size without worrying about moving the market or getting a bad fill. Whether you’re buying calls to express a bullish view or buying puts to hedge your portfolio, the QQQ options market can handle it.

3. Diversification (Within Tech): While concentrated, the QQQ still offers a degree of diversification that buying a single stock does not. If one of the tech giants stumbles on an earnings report, its impact on the overall ETF is buffered by the performance of the other 99 companies. This helps to smooth out some of the single-stock risk and volatility, making it a more manageable instrument for many traders.

4. A Barometer of Market Sentiment: The QQQ acts as a real-time gauge of investor appetite for risk and growth. Watching its price action and the flow in its options market can provide valuable clues about the market’s overall direction. For this reason, we often use it not just for direct trades but also as a key indicator to inform our trading on other individual stocks.

Our recent options trades in the trading room have utilized the QQQ to capitalize on the market’s bullish-but-volatile nature. By using defined-risk strategies like call spreads, we can participate in the upside potential of the tech sector while capping our maximum loss, a prudent approach in this environment. The QQQ provides the perfect underlying asset for this type of strategic, risk-managed trading.

The Innovation Engine: Breakthroughs Shaping Tomorrow

Two recent developments in the world of AI and neuroscience highlight the blistering pace of innovation and offer a glimpse into the future.

Brain-Inspired AI: A Leap in Efficiency

Researchers at the University of Surrey have developed a new AI wiring method called Topographical Sparse Mapping (TSM) that could fundamentally change how we build artificial intelligence. Inspired by how neurons connect in the human brain, this method has been enhanced into a new version, ETSM, which mimics the brain’s “pruning” process—where inefficient or unnecessary neural connections are eliminated over time.

The results are nothing short of revolutionary:

• Up to 99% Sparsity: The AI models can be “pruned” by up to 99%, meaning they can operate with a tiny fraction of the connections of a standard AI.

• Maintained Accuracy: Despite this massive reduction in complexity, the models maintain or even surpass the accuracy of their denser counterparts.

• 99% Reduction in Energy Use: This is the game-changer. By dramatically reducing the number of calculations needed, this method slashes energy consumption.

• Accelerated Training: Fewer connections also mean faster training times.

Implications for the Tech Sector:
The single biggest constraint on the growth of AI is energy. Data centers are incredibly power-hungry, and concerns are growing about the strain this will place on electrical grids. Bill Gates himself has flagged this issue, advocating for nuclear power as a potential solution.

This breakthrough offers a different path: making AI itself radically more efficient. If this technology can be commercialized, it could:

1. Democratize AI: Lowering the energy and computational cost of running powerful AI models would make them accessible to smaller companies and even on-device applications (like your smartphone or car), rather than being confined to massive data centers.

2. Enable Neuromorphic Computing: This is a major step towards creating “neuromorphic” chips—processors that are architected like the human brain. Companies like Intel (INTC) and numerous startups are already working on this, and a software breakthrough like ETSM could be the key to unlocking their potential.

3. Alleviate the Energy Crisis: This could significantly reduce the projected energy needs of the AI industry, making the current growth trajectory more sustainable. It’s a direct challenge to the idea that we need to build a new power plant for every new data center. This is a story to watch closely, as it could reshape the hardware and energy landscape of the AI industry.

The Remote Labor Index: AI Isn’t Taking Your Job... Yet

In a dose of reality, the new Remote Labor Index (RLI) from ScaleAI and AI Risks revealed that even the most advanced AI agents are not very good at performing real-world remote jobs.

The top-performing model, Manus, achieved a paltry 2.5% automation rate on a set of complex tasks representative of digital remote work. Even the latest models like Claude Sonnet 4.5, GPT-5, and Gemini 2.5 Pro are only showing incremental progress.

What This Tells Us:
The narrative of a sudden, mass displacement of jobs by AI is likely overblown. While AI is an incredibly powerful tool for specific tasks (writing code, summarizing text, generating images), it struggles with the multi-step, dynamic, and often ambiguous nature of a complete job.

• Human Expertise Remains Crucial: The study shows that full automation is not around the corner. Instead, AI will continue to evolve as a powerful co-pilot or assistant, augmenting human capabilities rather than replacing them outright. The future of work isn’t human vs. machine; it’s human + machine.

• Gradual, Not Sudden, Change: The progress in AI’s real-world capabilities is gradual. This gives society, businesses, and individuals time to adapt. It suggests a slow transformation of job roles rather than an overnight apocalypse for white-collar work.

• The Value of “Glue Work”: AI struggles with the “glue” that holds tasks together—context, communication, problem-solving, and adapting to unexpected issues. These uniquely human skills will become even more valuable in an AI-powered world.

For the market, this is a reassuring sign. It suggests a smoother, more manageable integration of AI into the economy, leading to productivity gains without the catastrophic social and economic disruption that many have feared.

Global Chessboard: Geopolitical Shifts and Your Portfolio

The global political and economic landscape is in constant flux, and recent developments from China could have a significant impact on some of the most critical sectors of the market.

China’s Recalibration on Minerals and Tech

For the past few years, one of the biggest risks hanging over the global tech industry has been the threat of China weaponizing its dominance in key resources. China is the world’s largest producer and processor of rare earth minerals, which are essential for everything from electric vehicles and wind turbines to smartphones and military hardware. It also plays a critical role in the semiconductor supply chain.

Recent signals from Beijing, however, suggest a potential shift in strategy.

• Easing Rare Earth Restrictions: China is reportedly easing restrictions on rare earth mineral exports. This move could be interpreted in many ways. It may be a pragmatic recognition that overly aggressive restrictions were hurting its own economy and driving its customers to seek alternative sources (like the C$6.4 billion initiative launched by Canada). It could also be a goodwill gesture aimed at de-escalating trade tensions with the U.S. and Europe.

• Semiconductor Export Ban Easing: Similarly, signals that China might ease its export ban on Nexperia semiconductors (a Dutch firm with a Chinese owner) could help alleviate some chokepoints in the global tech supply chain.

Potential Market Effects:

1. Relief for Tech and Auto Manufacturers: An easing of restrictions on rare earths and other critical materials would be a direct tailwind for companies that rely on them. This includes EV manufacturers like Tesla (TSLA), Ford (F), and GM (GM), as well as a vast array of electronics and industrial companies. It could help to lower input costs and reduce supply chain uncertainty.

2. Impact on Mining Stocks: This news could be a short-term negative for mining companies outside of China that are trying to develop new sources of rare earths. Stocks in this sector may see some pressure if the market believes Chinese supply will become more abundant and cheaper. However, the long-term strategic imperative for Western nations to develop their own supply chains will not disappear.

3. A Barometer for U.S.-China Relations: These moves are chess pieces in the great power competition between the U.S. and China. An easing of trade restrictions could be a sign that both sides are looking for areas of cooperation, which would be a net positive for market sentiment. Conversely, any reversal or renewed aggression from either side would send a chill through the market. We are also watching the Taiwan situation closely, with former President Trump claiming he received assurances from President Xi that China would not invade during his presidency. Such statements, regardless of their veracity, add another layer of complexity and uncertainty to the most critical geopolitical flashpoint in the world.

Finding Opportunity In The Noise

We are living through a period of historic transformation. The rise of artificial intelligence is not another tech cycle; it is a fundamental force that will reshape industries, economies, and our daily lives. The sheer scale of investment, the pace of innovation, and the tangible results we are already seeing confirm that this is a revolution in its early innings.

At the same time, the world feels more fractured and uncertain than it has in decades. Geopolitical tensions simmer, political rhetoric is divisive, and economic crosscurrents create a fog of volatility that can be difficult to navigate.

It is in this environment—at the intersection of incredible opportunity and palpable risk—that true conviction is tested. It’s easy to be a bull in a calm, steadily rising market. It is much harder to hold your nerve when the bull is roaring one minute and skittish the next.

Our message to you is one of optimistic realism. Be optimistic about the long-term technological tailwinds that are driving this market forward. The productivity gains and wealth creation from the AI revolution will be immense. But be realistic about the risks. Acknowledge the volatility. Stay informed about the geopolitical chess match. Do not allow yourself to become complacent.

The greatest opportunities are often born in times of uncertainty. The noise of daily headlines can be deafening, but the underlying signal—the signal of innovation, growth, and human ingenuity—is strong. Stay focused on that signal. Use periods of fear and volatility not as a reason to run, but as a chance to evaluate and, where appropriate, to build positions in the great companies that are shaping our future. The bull is roaring, and for those who can tune out the noise and ride out the tremors, the journey ahead promises to be extraordinary.

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